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Drop rate/Lunar Fortune

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This article tracks the the drop rate for Lunar Fortunes, split by year. The drop percentages seem to stay roughly the same year-to-year.

Note: In order to make sure the results are valid, the user must use the Lunar Fortune themselves, decide to record the Lunar Fortune's contents before opening it, and must record the date. Otherwise there is a risk of artificially skewing data, see the Wikipedia article on statistical bias for details. Please also update the totals and percentages if you add data. It's more work, but it's the most important part.

Extra note: once someone makes an error, the rest of the totals and percentages will also suffer. Use a simple spreadsheet to check.

Lunar Fortune [Year of the Pig 2007]

Level 1 Data

Total Number Bottle Rocket 100Gold Champ. Popper Lunar Blessing Sparkler Lucky Aura Spiritual Poss. Miniature Pig Signature
144 11 48 26 10 15 16 13 - --Pork soldier 01:26, 19 February 2007 (CST)
37 8 10 4 1 2 5 7 1 -- Jan 00:24, 19 February 2007 (EST)
96 8 31 9 11 12 12 13 - -- Pondy 21:12, 18 February 2007 (CST)
204 22 72 24 22 21 25 18 - -- Burple 07:00, 18 February 2007 (EST)
155 23 43 13 11 20 23 22 - --PRNG 18:24, 17 February 2007 (PST)
83 9 22 7 9 11 10 15 - --Gwen 18:59, 17 February 2007 (CST)
115 12 33 16 7 28 9 10 - --Webz 12:59, 17 February 2007 (PST)
103 14 29 16 15 8 11 10 - --DocNuas 20:01, 17 February 2007 (CST)
40 9 12 4 3 4 5 2 1 --Dragonaxe 16:43, 16 February 2007 (CST)
54 7 16 6 8 5 3 7 2 --220.233.103.77 21:53, 16 February 2007 (CST)
32 4 10 3 4 3 1 6 1 -- Flashcry 01:14, 17 February 2007 (CST)
21 1 8 2 3 2 2 3 - -- Tasha Darke 20:39, 16 February 2007 (CST)
38 3 11 11 2 4 4 3 - - Smoke Trap Entice789 (Talk | Contributions) 21:43, 16 February 2007 (CST)
83 7 37 5 7 8 8 10 1 -- Rabia 01:32, 17 February 2007 (EST)
22 2 6 2 4 3 2 2 1 -- Infinity 02:10, 17 February 2007 (CST)
137 16 46 13 11 24 13 14 - -- 68.209.230.87 00:18, 17 February 2007 (CST)
100 6 29 8 11 14 19 13 - -- DemonikProphet 13:44, 17 February 2007 (CST)
83 11 25 10 10 10 9 8 - [Adul] 03:44, 17 February 2007 (CST)
252 35 85 24 38 22 21 26 1 -- Astrael 11:26, 18 February 2007 (CST)
81 6 28 14 8 12 8 5 - --Arfinn 08:08, 17 February 2007 (CST)
70 11 28 4 8 7 6 6 - --Ivory 20:10, 17 February 2007 (GMT)
31 4 7 7 5 5 2 1 - --zeeZ 11:29, 17 February 2007 (CST)
50 4 15 9 7 6 5 4 - -- Riveted 11:41, 17 February 2007 (CST)
32 4 14 4 3 4 2 1 - -- Roady 11:41, 17 February 2007 (CST)
136 20 40 16 17 15 12 14 2 -- Ishmaeel 12:06, 17 February 2007 (CST)
100 9 45 10 10 11 6 9 0 --MistraL 02:18, 18 February 2007 (JST)
270 31 88 39 22 37 28 25 - -- Nethya 17:48, 17 February 2007 (GMT)
103 10 34 13 17 11 9 9 - -- Diodora 19:05, 17 February 2007 (GMT)
100 13 30 8 8 14 12 15 - -- Krol 19:19, 17 February 2007 (GMT)
55 3 23 7 5 3 6 7 1 Dr Ishmael Diablo the chicken (talk|contribs) 15:15, 17 February 2007 (CST)
331 43 125 28 28 35 43 29 - -- Raptor 21:01, 17 February 2007 (GMT)
86 9 36 11 7 9 8 6 - -- Zaq 18:21, 17 February 2007 (CST)
124 14 49 13 9 15 16 7 1 -- Khan Reaper Kerensky 19:48, 17 February 2007 (CST)
81 6 23 11 14 10 11 6 - -- SkyeMarin 20:03, 17 February 2007 (EST)
25 3 9 3 4 1 2 3 - --Gem-icon-sm (talk) 20:02, 17 February 2007 (CST)
152 17 42 16 19 16 20 21 1 --Deliciously Evil 20:13, 17 February 2007 (CST)
148 13 41 25 18 20 21 10 - -- Kalomeli Heart-icon-sm (talk) 20:46, 17 February 2007 (CST)
117 14 43 17 11 10 13 9 - -- Ishmaeel 21:35, 17 February 2007 (CST)
96 12 27 10 9 17 9 12 - --Gem-icon-sm (talk) 03:32, 18 February 2007 (CST)
93 8 25 10 10 12 14 13 1 --Kalomeli Heart-icon-sm (talk) 03:44, 18 February 2007 (CST)
122 11 37 15 16 16 16 10 1 --Sasha 04:04, 18 February 2007 (EST)
23 5 7 4 3 1 2 1 - --Silver Spirit 11:44, 18 February 2007 (GMT)
109 13 32 15 20 14 8 7 - -- Michael57 07:31, 18 February 2007 (CST)
108 9 35 15 8 10 14 12 - -- random curly wierdo 15:57, 18 February 2007 (GMT)
50 6 18 4 6 7 6 2 1 --MRA 16:18, 18 February 2007 (CST)
100 7 34 8 9 15 11 15 1 -- MistraL 18:14, 20 February 2007 (JST)
100 16 31 11 10 10 14 8 0 -- MistraL 18:14, 20 February 2007 (JST)
250 34 84 25 24 27 21 35 0 -- Reiketsukage 06:30, 15 March 2007 (EST)
46 8 12 5 5 7 4 3 2 -- Kalendraf 20:15, 10 February 2008 (CST)
Total Number Bottle Rocket 100Gold Champ. Popper Lunar Blessing Sparkler Lucky Aura Spiritual Poss. Miniature Pig Signature
4988 571 1635 580 527 593 547 507 19 Totals --MasterPatricko 19:49, 10 February 2008 (UTC)
100.0 11.45 32.78 11.63 10.57 11.89 10.97 10.16 0.38 Percent --MasterPatricko 19:49, 10 February 2008 (UTC)

Level 2 Data

As of: 03:14, 20 February 2007 (CST)

  • Bottle Rockets: +/- 11.39%
  • 100g: +/- 32.84%
  • Champagne Poppers: +/- 11.63%
  • Lunar Blessing: +/- 10.56%
  • Sparklers: +/- 11.86%
  • Lucky Aura: +/- 10.99%
  • Spiritual Possession: +/- 10.20%
  • Mini Pig: +/- 0.34%

Note: the errors indicated are standard errors (standard deviation divided by the square root of the number of data points).

It seems these percentages are converging to roughly 11.1%, 33.3% and 0.33%

Lunar Fortune [Year of the Rat 2008]

Level 1 Data

Total Number Bottle Rocket 100Gold Champ. Popper Lunar Blessing Sparkler Lucky Aura Spiritual Poss. Miniature Rat Signature
8 0 2 1 3 1 0 1 0 -- Khazad Guard 04:31, 9 February 2008 (UTC)
17 5 4 2 1 1 1 2 1 -- Khazad Guard 09:40, 9 February 2008 (UTC)
50 4 16 4 6 9 6 5 0 -- Angelica Warheart 13:39, 9 February 2008 (GMT)
54 7 19 4 4 8 4 8 0 -- Zer Bean 08:22, 9 February 2008 (MST)
38 5 11 5 3 5 5 3 1 -- Del Weiss 17:35, 9 February 2008 (GMT)
250 41 71 36 20 32 17 31 2 -- Khazad Guard 17:26, 9 February 2008 (UTC)
2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -- User:Xiko 16:03, 9 February 2008 (GMT)
127 14 44 12 18 16 7 15 1 -- User:S A T S 18:26, 9 February 2008 (GMT)
53 8 17 3 2 8 6 9 0 -- Zerbean 11:54, 9 February 2008 (MST)
226 19 70 31 32 38 21 14 1 -- Yujiko Ineluki 19:18, 9 February 2008 (UTC)
80 13 28 10 4 11 4 9 1 -- User:Darkerviti 20:06, 9 February 2008 (GMT)
51 7 14 5 0 12 3 9 1 -- Cloe The Cunning 13:42, 9 February 2008 (MST)
300 40 93 44 39 27 38 19 0 -- Kazumi Arisu 22:22, 9 February 2008 (GMT)
182 22 49 36 17 27 16 15 0 -- User:Saikano 27:22, 9 February 2008 (GMT)
108 13 31 11 15 15 6 17 0 -- Enmity Rain 21:02, 9 February 2008 (EST)
62 6 23 11 4 7 3 8 0 -- Mootboot 02:17, 10 February 2008 (UTC)
250 38 65 46 17 33 23 26 2 -- Endy 05:26, 10 February 2008 (CET)
250 27 70 36 29 41 19 27 1 -- Endy 05:54, 10 February 2008 (CET)
64 5 19 7 9 11 4 8 1 -- User:Holy Girl Erika 11:05, 9 February 2008 (CST)
166 16 57 27 21 18 11 16 0 -- Bsinkk 06:25, 10 February 2008 (UTC)
440 69 128 65 42 61 36 38 1 -- PRNG 09:27, 10 February 2008 (UTC)
100 15 30 16 11 13 8 7 0 -- Mootboot 15:06, 10 February 2008 (UTC)
66 9 15 12 6 11 7 6 0 -- Zer Bean 10:35, 10 February 2008 (MST)
150 19 44 19 13 18 13 23 1 -- User:Nadezhda Su Argot 11:16, 10 February 2008 (CST)
147 18 52 14 9 21 11 22 0 -- Krenn 18:34, 10 February 2008 (UTC)
250 43 70 27 19 43 21 24 3 --MasterPatricko 19:49, 10 February 2008 (UTC)
395 55 127 62 30 59 33 29 0 --Ipolych 20:57, 10 February 2008 (UTC)
50 4 13 6 6 10 3 8 0 -- Enmity Rain 17:53, 10 February 2008 (EST)
119 18 40 14 15 15 7 10 0 -- Krenn 01:21, 11 February 2008 (UTC)
47 11 13 7 4 5 2 5 0 -- PRNG 01:37, 11 February 2008 (UTC)
337 48 104 35 27 61 33 28 1 -- Kalendraf 21:45, 11 February 2008 (CST)
216 26 52 31 20 42 19 25 1 -- Sephrina Pendragon 00:29, 11 February 2008 (EST)
217 21 63 31 16 36 17 29 4 -- Khazad Guard 05:38, 11 February 2008 (UTC)
63 13 24 6 6 6 5 3 0 -- Discobadger 17:38, 11 February 2008 (UTC)
36 7 11 6 4 2 2 3 1 -- Enmity Rain 18:41, 11 February 2008 (EST)
29 1 9 4 6 5 2 2 0 -- Darkerviti 11:44, 12 February 2008 (GMT)
34 3 16 2 2 8 0 3 0 JediRogue 23:02, 4 April 2008 (UTC)
33 3 14 5 1 4 4 2 0 --Wolfie Wolfie sig (talk|contribs) 05:49, 24 June 2008 (UTC)
Total Number Bottle Rocket 100Gold Champ. Popper Lunar Blessing Sparkler Lucky Aura Spiritual Poss. Miniature Rat Signature
5067 673 1529 693 481 740 417 509 25 Totals --Wolfie Wolfie sig (talk|contribs) 05:49, 24 June 2008 (UTC)
100% 13.28% 30.18% 13.68% 9.49% 14.60% 8.23% 10.06% 0.49% Percent --Wolfie Wolfie sig (talk|contribs) 05:49, 24 June 2008 (UTC)

Lunar Fortune [Year of the Ox 2009]

Level 1 Data

Total Number 100Gold Bottle Rocket Champ. Popper Sparkler Lucky Aura Lunar Blessing Spiritual Poss. Mini Ox Signature
504 149 71 72 54 50 42 62 4 Dr Ishmael Diablo the chicken 02:24, 1 February 2009 (UTC)
99 30 13 14 11 11 12 8 0 Fezgik 15:38, 31 January 2009
54 21 5 7 5 5 5 6 0 83.26.191.130 13:43, 31 January 2009
135 38 28 14 13 10 13 16 3 Yujiko Ineluki 20:41, 31 January 2009 (UTC)
83 20 11 11 16 5 9 10 1 Vyral 05:50, 1 February 2009 (UTC)
10 3 3 2 0 1 0 0 1 OKILUBB 06:23, 1 February 2009 (UTC)
97 26 10 15 15 7 13 9 2 Ikswort 06:46, 1 February 2009 (UTC)
52 17 5 8 9 4 5 4 0 Barrow Adown 08:45, 1 February 2009 (UTC)
250 59 36 36 40 19 29 31 0 69.231.53.56 12:13, 1 February 2009 (UTC)
176 42 37 24 32 12 15 13 1 82.244.81.173 16:34, 1 February 2009 (UTC)
250 79 43 36 31 17 16 27 1 Ailar 18:17, 1 February 2009 (UTC)
75 28 13 13 5 5 2 9 0 Wolfer991 15:06, 1 February 2009 (Central)
136 40 12 22 19 12 17 13 1 S_A_T_S 21:51, 1 February 2009 (UTC)
197 58 25 23 30 20 20 19 2 Moni Thor 22:15, 1 February 2009 (GMT)
100 34 12 9 11 12 10 10 2 Kalendraf 1:15, 2 February 2009 (GMT)
100 31 16 9 15 7 11 10 1 tcol 8:45, 2 February 2009 (GMT)
55 20 9 5 5 5 5 6 0 Ailar 18:10, 2 February 2009 (UTC)
26 6 5 2 4 2 3 3 1 Ross 23:19, 2 February 2009 (GMT+1)
207 36 40 32 34 22 21 20 2 Screams 00:27, 3 February 2009 (GMT)
460 142 63 69 65 25 46 48 2 --Wolfie Wolfie sig (talk|contribs) 23:40, 3 February 2009 (UTC)
5 0 1 2 1 1 0 0 0 --Unzinc 14:45, 5 February 2009 (GMT-7)
Total Number 100Gold Bottle Rocket Champ. Popper Sparkler Lucky Aura Lunar Blessing Spiritual Poss. Mini Ox Signature
3066 879 457 423 414 251 294 324 24 Totals --Wolfie Wolfie sig (talk|contribs) 23:40, 3 February 2009 (UTC)
100% 28.67% 14.91% 13.80% 13.50% 8.19% 9.59% 10.57% 0.78% Percent --Wolfie Wolfie sig (talk|contribs) 23:40, 3 February 2009 (UTC)


Lunar Fortune [Year of the Tiger 2010]

Level 1 Data

Total Number 100Gold Bottle Rocket Champ. Popper Sparkler Lucky Aura Lunar Blessing Spiritual Poss. Mini Tiger Signature
60 17 8 9 10 4 4 8 0 71.146.81.65 09:08, February 14, 2010 (UTC)
30 10 5 3 6 1 1 2 2 X lorien X 18:43, February 14, 2010 (UTC)
240 64 37 44 28 17 27 22 1 Bottle130 19:02, February 14, 2010 (UTC)
300 83 49 48 37 25 27 28 3 Kalendraf 21:50, February 14, 2010 (UTC)
349 110 36 43 46 32 36 44 2 wite_c 04:52, February 15, 2010 (UTC)
186 51 25 27 25 22 17 19 0 --Afya 06:50, February 15, 2010 (UTC)
55 8 10 10 8 6 5 7 1 — --MIB4u 09:28, February 15, 2010 (UTC)
783 236 108 120 110 69 69 70 1 — --User:GBM 12:45, February 16, 2010 (UTC)
162 44 20 21 25 17 15 20 0 205.209.190.118 09:39, February 15, 2010 (UTC)
159 52 18 24 18 18 10 19 0

User V13 Savage Clan-wiki-Singature 14:00, February 15, 2010 (UTC)

250 69 31 31 44 28 16 29 2

User V13 Savage Clan-wiki-Singature 14:01, February 15, 2010 (UTC)

55 20 10 7 5 5 2 6 0 JonTheMon 14:43, February 16, 2010 (UTC)
141 34 20 22 43 16 13 12 1 --anonymous 23:39, February 16, 2010 (UTC)
Total Number 100Gold Bottle Rocket Champ. Popper Sparkler Lucky Aura Lunar Blessing Spiritual Poss. Mini Tiger Signature
2770 798 377 409 405 260 242 286 13 Totals -- GBM 15:09, March 8, 2010 (UTC)
100% 28.80% 13.61% 14.76% 14.62% 9.38% 8.73% 10.32% 0.46% Percent -- GBM 15:12, March 8, 2010 (UTC)

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