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Drop rate/Dye

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This article tracks the drops rate of Dye.

Current Research

Please help!

-- BlueGreenPurpleRedYellowOrangeWhiteBrownSilverBlackTotalSignature
-- 8 7 7 5 9 7 2 11 4 1 61 Menzies 9:00, 20 December 2006 (GMT)
-- 1 4 1 2 2 2 2 3 1 0 18 Gordon Ecker 01:01, 2 May 2007 (CDT)
-- 7 12 12 8 11 6 3 7 4 2 72 Grebs 22:48, 3 July 2007 (GMT)
-- 3 5 2 1 6 1 1 6 1 0 26 Gordon Ecker 02:09, 1 August 2007 (CDT)
-- 4 13 12 9 19 8 4 9 17 0 95 NCRMNCR 11:09, 22 September 2007 (CDT)
-- 64 120 107 80 145 113 7 69 66 24 795 NylanaGreymoon 16:00, 28 March 2008 (CDT)
-- 3 5 2 2 4 2 0 4 4 0 26 Kyler Ives 10:00, 14 April 2008 (PDT)
-- 3 1 1 4 7 1 4 3 7 2 33 Polyamorous T 17:27, 22 March 2009 (GMT)
-- 14 12 14 9 13 16 3 17 11 2 111 Bahamut Heroes 16:38, 13 April 2009 (GMT)
-- 30 50 37 28 44 39 10 42 32 11 323 Grebs 08:42, 7 May 2009 (GMT)
-- 0 1 1 1 4 2 1 0 1 0 10 Three French Hens 00:08, 3 June 2009 (GMT)
-- 2 2 3 1 2 1 1 5 0 1 18 Adriaanz 15:48, 8 November 2009 (GMT)
-- 11 16 14 3 8 15 4 15 10 4 100 Jade Silverleaf 02:48, 21 December 2009 (GMT)
Totals 150 248 213 153 274 213 42 191 158 47 1689 02:48, 21 December 2009 (GMT)
% 8.9% 14.7% 12.6% 9.1% 16.2% 12.6% 2.5% 11.3% 9.4% 2.8% 100% Percentages
  • Please do not add data collected before the 25th of october, 2006 to this table.

Proposed "Official" Color Proportions

14 April 2010, I (KohanX) took the current drop statistics from above and created a set of drop rates from "nice" numbers (multiples of 2.5%), resulting in the following:

GreenYellowOrangePurpleBlueBrownRedSilverBlackWhite
Observed 14.7% 16.2% 12.6% 12.6% 8.9% 11.3% 9.1% 9.4% 2.8% 2.5%
Proposed 15% 15% 12.5% 12.5% 10% 10% 10% 10% 2.5% 2.5%

A chi-square test using this data of 1689 observances shows that, if this proposed set of color proportions is correct, then the data that has been accumulated so far has a 38.6% chance of occurring.

All things considered, I think that a roughly-40% level of confidence is pretty good. If anyone thinks that a different proposed set is more likely, but he or she does not know how to conduct a chi-square test, I will be happy to do so for him or her if I am e-mailed at hotmail.com@idrox0 (in reverse, of course). I am happy to have put my Statistics course to good use :).

Pre-Nightfall

This table tracks the drops rate of Dye before Nightfall, and the introduction of white and brown dyes into the game.

-- BlueGreenPurpleRedYellowOrangeSilverBlackTotalSignature
5 5 0 2 1 8 7 1 29 Grebs 19:55, 14 September 2006 (GMT)
38 29 31 34 26 21 28 4 212 Foo 14:22, 14 September 2006 (CDT)
10 7 9 6 7 5 9 2 55 Grebs 21:43, 26 September 2006 (GMT)
3 4 3 2 4 1 1 0 18 Foo 06:52, 2 October 2006 (CDT)
2 5 4 4 3 2 5 0 25 Grebs 15:42, 26 October 2006 (GMT)
Totals 58 50 47 48 41 37 50 7 339 -
Percentages 17.1% 14.7% 13.9% 14.2% 12.1% 10.9% 14.7% 2.1% - -
  • Please do not add data collected after the 25th of october, 2006 to this table.

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